Tuesday, January 19, 2016

US mid-Atlantic snow storm update

Batten down the hatches, this is going to be a doozy(maps courtesy of Weatherbell) for the mid-Atlantic US and Nova Scotia.  It'll miss us entirely, dangit.  Most of the snow will fall Friday into Saturday.

GFS

CGEM

Sunday, January 17, 2016

A quick look at the weather this week.

A sneaky low pressure will drop a couple tenths of an inch of precipitation this evening.  However, due to low temperatures, the snow will likely be in the 15:1 or above ratio.  So we could get 5+cms from this system.

The week ahead looks relatively benign but cold.

Not so in the eastern US.   Major snowstorm shaping up late week (map courtesy of Weatherbell).


Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Hope springs eternal..

While the clipper has given pretty what was expected in terms of snow.

The models are now turning the Saturday system into another 5-10 cm instead of a 15-20 cm storm.

But hope springs eternal.. rumours of storms beyond.

Monday, January 11, 2016

More enthusiast

Some of the models have become more enthusiast about tomorrow clipper, saying that we may get as much as 10cm.  As well, a system on Saturday is looking like a 15-20 cm..

Sunday, January 10, 2016

Flash freeze and Clipper

Today's high temperature of  ~ +5C will occur early this evening, approximately 8:00 PM, .   By 10 PM, the temperature is predicted to have dropped to -2C, -5 by midnight, -10 by morning.  This is accompanied by high winds.   Bare surfaces may dry up before the freeze but any accumulation of puddles will freeze up and snow banks will become rock solid.

Tuesday will see an Alberta clipper coming through, dropping approximately 5cm of snow (map courtesy of Weatherbell)


Thursday, December 31, 2015

Happy New Year...a look forward

Happy New Year all!  I hope 2016 is fantastic for you all.

Short term look:
- Milder than normal temps until Sunday
- a few cms of snow Saturday night

Mid term look:
- Much colder Monday thru Wednesday, getting into the -20s C overnight.
- Rumours of another storm next weekend.

Longer term look
- General agreement in models that mid January will turn to cold, with seasonal to below seasonal temperatures (see maps below courtesy of Weatherbell).




Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Latest radar loop...

Looks like one major band is starting to cross the Eastern Ontario region.


Enjoy this snow... it'll be the last one of significance for at least a week. 

Longer term, look for mid January for true winter to start for the areas that were warm in  December.



Monday, December 28, 2015

Lastest snow map

From the NAW/WRF model (map courtesy of Weatherbell), no change in timing:  late tonight to late tomorrow.

Sunday, December 27, 2015

Tuesday's snow

Snow will start late evening Monday or early morning of Tuesday, ending in the evening.  Most modeling is showing 6-10" of accumulations.

Here is the 60 hr snow totals from the NAM, map courtesy of Weatherbell.


Saturday, December 26, 2015

Wouldn't that be fun...

Five day snow total from the CGEM (map below courtesy of Weatherbell). 

Tonight precip starts late this evening as snow, changes over to ice pellets/freezing rain until mid-morning-ish with a change back to snow.

The next system will start late Monday in SW Ontario, moving NE hitting the Ottawa area by Tuesday morning.  More precise precip types/totals coming tomorrow as short range models start outputting for Tuesday.